Cowboys vs Saints 2019 NFL Week 4 Odds & Betting Prediction

In 2018, the New Orleans Saints and the Dallas Cowboys met — and the Cowboys delivered what many observers called the best defensive performance since Dallas’ 24-3 obliteration of Miami in Super Bowl VI, as the high-powered Saints’ offense only delivered 10 points in a 13-10 upset that was part of Dallas’ run to an NFC East title. This week, the Saints will welcome Dallas to the Mercedes-Benz Superdome for a rematch — although Drew Brees will not lead the New Orleans offense. On the shelf for thumb surgery, Brees will be replaced by Teddy Bridgewater, who led the Saints to a big road win in Seattle on a wet field last Sunday. The prime-time atmosphere in New Orleans will be raucous as the Cowboys take the field. Can the Cowboys stay undefeated? Or will the Saints deliver revenge for their loss a year ago? Don’t miss our NFL betting preview of this matchup of NFC contenders.

Cowboys vs Saints 2019 NFL Week 4 Odds & Betting Prediction

Kamara will be a test for entire #DallasCowboys defense. #DALvsNO

— Dallas Cowboys (@dallascowboys) September 26, 2019

When: Sunday, September 29, 2019, 8:20pm ET Where: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans TV: NBC Radio: Westwood One Live Stream: ESPN+ NFL Odds: Dallas -2.5 / O/U 46 

Why should you bet on the Cowboys?

Quarterback Dak Prescott has thrown for 920 yards and nine touchdowns against just two interceptions so far in the 2019 campaign. Ezekiel Elliott has 289 yards and two touchdowns so far, and Tony Pollard joined Elliott in running for more than 100 yards in the Cowboys’ 31-6 win over Miami in Week 3. Amari Cooper leads the team with 238 receiving yards on a team-best 16 catches, with four touchdowns already. Through three weeks, the team is averaging 481.3 yards of total offense and 32.3 points per game. Dallas has covered the spread in nine of their last 13 games — but just six times in their last 20 games against a team with a winning record. New Orleans has failed to cover in five straight home games and in seven of their last eight games overall. However, the home team has covered in each of the last four meetings between these two teams — and the underdog has covered in 10 of the last 12 meetings. So the games tend to be close. If you like Dallas, you see their defense keeping Bridgewater and the rest of the skill players in check in ways that Seattle was unable to accomplish, and you see the Dallas coaching staff making the necessary adjustments.

Why should you put your money on the Saints?

New Orleans should take solace from the fact that Dallas’ first three opponents have a combined record of 1-8 and a combined point differential of -179. The fact that Bridgewater was able to lead the Saints to 33 points (of course, a punt return for a score and a defensive touchdown spruced up those numbers) against Seattle on the Seahawks’ home field should give the Saints some confidence here. Bridgewater has gone 19 for 27 for 177 yards and two scores, and Alvin Kamara has 211 rushing yards and 179 receiving yards, second most on the team among pass catchers. The Saints are permitting 27.3 points per game, but their pass rush is working, as Trey Hendrickson has three sacks, and Cameron Jordan has two. New Orleans has covered in five of the last six meetings with Dallas down in New Orleans. Given that the Saints were unable to get revenge on the Rams in Week 2 — and that they exploded on offense in Week 3 — I see them spoiling for some redemption on Sunday night in front of their home fans.

Final Score Prediction

The Dallas offense has been very impressive so far this season. However, they are about to take on a defense that is not in the bottom tier of the league in a hostile road environment. Sean Payton can coach circles around Jason Garrett, and Garrett’s inability to make in-game adjustments in the face of adversity will play into the Saints’ hands. I predict a final score of New Orleans 27, Dallas 23.