Five Expert Bold Predictions for 2018 March Madness

We’re winding down regular season play in the 2017-18 NCAA men’s basketball season, which means that we’re entering conference tournament play and filling your March Madness betting bracket as well, the 68-team tournament for the national championship, is just around the corner. There are a number of teams that still have some work to do to make it in, and there are a number of others hoping that the bubble they are riding does not burst at the wrong time, leaving them at home. Check out some of our College Basketball betting observations for where several teams are right now.

Five Expert Bold Predictions for 2018 March Madness

Syracuse (18-11, 7-9 ACC) will miss the tournament

That Jim Boeheim 2-3 defense is a hallmark for the Orange. Once again, it is frustrating opponents left and right this season. Unfortunately, only three Syracuse players are reliable scorers: Oshae Brissett, Frank Howard, and Tyus Battle. Duke knew that and focused on shutting down those three players in a 60-44 home win. The Orange have to finish the season with Clemson at home, but let’s say that the Orange beat Clemson and then get on a bit of a roll in the ACC tournament. Given the number of teams that Syracuse could pick up quality wins against, could you leave them out? Given the paucity of scoring options they have, it just doesn’t look like they will survive the bubble this year.

Oklahoma (17-11, 7-9 Big 12) will lose in the first round

Right now, the Sooners look headed to a 10-seed in the bracket. That’s a stunning collapse for a top-10 team (back before Big 12 play began). The team has risen and fallen with freshman Trae Young, whose tremendous scoring hit a real wall in conference play, as other teams realized that Young is not a selective shooter and will force the ball from just about anywhere on the floor. That’s good news for more patient defenses like Texas Tech, West Virginia and Kansas (and by the way — did you know that in Kansas’ 14-season run of Big 12 regular season titles, they have never been swept home and away by any conference opponent? Talk about domination). The Sooners did beat Kansas State at home, but I don’t see them lasting long in the conference tournament, and I see them washing out in the Big Dance.

Florida (18-11, 9-7 SEC) could push to the March Madness Sweet 16

The Gators pulled off a huge home win against Auburn late in conference play. They had dropped five of seven and had looked like they were sliding into the NIT. However, that win gave them a big Quadrant I result. Now they finish with Kentucky at home, and taking down the always unpredictable Wildcats going into the conference tournament would give the Gators even more buzz. That sort of finish could push them as high as a 6-seed, which gives them a winnable opener and could put them up against a vulnerable squad in the round of 32.

St. Mary’s (27-4, 16-2 WCC) will be one-and-done

The peril of playing in the West Coast Conference is that if you lose to anyone not named Gonzaga, your seeding takes a big plunge. That’s what happened to the Gaels, and they have to beat Pepperdine or Santa Clara to take on Gonzaga in that final. The Gaels don't look like a safe bet for 2018 March Madness. If they don’t want to look at something like a 12-seed, they have to beat Gonzaga in the WCC championship. I don’t see them doing that, and the ennui of WCC play seems to have dulled their edge.

Neither Arizona team will make it to the March Madness Sweet 16

Arizona and Arizona State have both soared into the top 10 this season, and they have both tumbled out, in an iffy season that has captured the entire Pac-12. They should both make it in, but Arizona State had lost three straight before demolishing woeful Cal, and they need to beat Stanford just to make it to .500 in conference play. Arizona is the class of the Pac-12, but they’re the only lock for the conference into the Big Dance, and their offense and rebounding both go dark for extended periods.