Early PGA Championship Odds: Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler Favorites

Early PGA Championship Odds: Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler Favorites

Written by on April 20, 2023

Oak Hill Country Club will host the second major of 2023 when the PGA Championship gets underway on Thursday, May 18. Such golf stars as Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy will square off with the remainder of the field for the Wanamaker Trophy. Justin Thomas is the defending champion and has a chance to become the first back-to-back PGA Championship winner since Brooks Koepka did it in 2018-19. Rahm is the favorite to win after his triumph at the Masters, and Thomas is close to the top of the sports betting odds list despite the difficulty of repeating. Let’s look at the PGA odds for contenders (+10000 or better) to win as well as some thoughts about potential picks.

 

Golf Betting News: Early Odds for the 2023 PGA Championship

 
Player Odds (+10000 or better)
Jon Rahm +700
Scottie Scheffler +900
Rory McIlroy +1000
Collin Morikawa, Jordan Spieth, Brooks Koepka +2000
Justin Thomas, Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay +2200
Cameron Smith, Cameron Young +2500
Viktor Hovland +2800
Tony Finau +3000
Max Homa, Sam Burns, Jason Day +3500
Matthew Fitzpatrick, Hideki Matsuyama, Sungjae Im +4000
Dustin Johnson, Shane Lowry, Tom Kim +4500
Tyrrell Hatton +5000
Joaquin Niemann +5500
Corey Conners, Patrick Reed +6000
Justin Rose, Tommy Fleetwood, Keegan Bradley +6600
Taylor Montgomery, Russell Henley +7000
Rickie Fowler, Min Woo Lee +7500
Daniel Berger, Abraham Ancer, Tiger Woods, Louis Oosthuizen, Paul Casey, Kurt Kitayama, Gary Woodland +8000
Davis Riley +9000
Bryson DeChambeau, Mito Pereira, Billy Horschel, Harris English, Chris Kirk, Phil Mickelson +10000
 
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The course is a treelined parklands layout dotted with bunkers. You need to drive the ball well – both with distance and accuracy. The fairways are narrow and undulate, which means that you need to be able to hit not just the fairway, but particular spots in the fairway. The greens also have a lot of slope, making approach shotmaking crucial as well. The rough is thick, making escaping and saving par challenging.

Jordan Spieth

is a player near the top of the odds list that you should possibly avoid, despite his 13 wins on the PGA Tour. He played at Oak Hill in 2013 at the PGA Championship and missed the cut. In his last three PGA Championships, he has finished no better than 30th, and in 10 total starts in this major, he has only cracked the top ten twice. Remember when Spieth was stacking up wins at majors? That was when his putter was elite. These days, he ranks only 76th in Strokes Gained: Putting, and 113th in total putting. These issues are leading to unneeded strokes, which is why Spieth is not in the PGA Tour Top 100 in birdies made.

Patrick Cantlay

comes in with a lot of value – and with a lot of shade cast about his slow pace of play. However, he is pounding the ball off the tee this year, averaging more than 305 yards per drive. Sending it deep into the fairway means that he can use short irons for his approaches, giving him an impressive 72.2% rate of hitting greens in regulation in 2023, the fourth-best rate on tour. Cantlay did win the Tour Championship two years ago, so he can measure up in the biggest events.

Abraham Ancer

is another value player who is interesting on this course. He only has one PGA Tour victory on his resume, but he ranks third in this field in driving accuracy, and when it comes to mid-to-long iron approach, he ranks 23rd in this field when approaching the green from a distance of 125 to 200 yards.

Will Zalatoris

was the PGA Chammpoinship runner-up in 2022, and he seems to respond well to challenging courses. He has five top-ten finishes in majors, including a pair of runner-up results.

Then there’s

Webb Simpson

. He has struggled so far in 2023, but he has the ideal game for Oak Hill. If you look at his key metrics, he should gain six strokes on this course based on his areas of strength.

 
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