NASCAR moves east this weekend, leaving Phoenix Raceway for the Atlanta Motor Speedway. The Cup Series event is the Ambetter Health 400, set for Sunday at 3:00 pm Eastern time. The action will unfold on FOX, with listeners able to tune in on PRN or SiriusXM. William Byron made it two straight wins at the United Rentals Work United 500 on Sunday at Phoenix Raceway, zooming past teammate Kyle Larson in overtime. It helped that Harrison Burton spun with a few laps remaining, giving Byron the opportunity to move into the lead. That was the second straight week a Ford driver had suffered a miscue to give Byron the chance, after Aric Almirola did something similar in Las Vegas the week before. Now Byron has a guaranteed slot in the Cup Series Playoffs and six career wins – and his first win at Phoenix. Let’s look at this week’s NASCAR betting odds and wager card suggestions.
NASCAR News: Cup Series Ambetter Health 400 Preview
|Driver||Odds||William Byron, Kyle Larson||+900|
|Ryan Blaney, Ross Chastain, Joey Logano, Denny Hamlin||+1200|
|Tyler Reddick, Brad Keselowski, Alex Bowman||+1800|
|Kevin Harvick, Daniel Suarez, Chris Buescher, Martin Truex Jr||+2500|
|Ricky Stenhouse Jr, Erik Jones, Austin Cindric, Aric Almirola||+3000|
|Chase Briscoe, Austin Dillon||+4000|
|Ryan Preece, Josh Berry, Corey LaJoie, AJ Allmendinger||+5000|
|Michael McDowell, Justin Haley||+6000|
|Todd Gilliland, Noah Gragson, Ty Gibbs||+8000|
|JJ Yeley, Cody Ware, BJ McLeod||+50000|
Ross Chastain is a driver who could benefit from the lottery that takes place at the end of superspeedway races, with spins and crashes allowing aggressive drivers to take advantage of adversity and drive around the insanity to get the win. Chastain’s car has a bit of an edge in speed that will allow him to get around that nonsense a bit more nimbly, and he’s an interesting value here.
Ryan Blaney refers to tracks like Atlanta’s 1.5-mile superspeedway as a “survival track.” The racing takes place in a pack thanks to the plates, and Blaney has won at two similar tracks, Talladega and Daytona.
William Byron won the first Atlanta race and led the most laps, and he comes in red-hot, but the gods of racing may not allow a third straight event ahead of him to take advantage of. His success at Atlanta in the past makes him a smart pick, all the same.
Kyle Larson should have won in each of the last two weeks. At Las Vegas and Phoenix, he got caught up in the chaos near the end of the race when he was in position to win. At Fontana, he had the speed to win but had a wiring issue pull him out. At some point, the bad luck has to dissipate. Right?
Daniel Suarez came in sixth and fourth last year in the Atlanta races. Teammate Ross Chastain had runner-up finishes here, but this could be the time when Suarez jumps up and pays off with a bit more value.
Kevin Harvick had two top-15 finishes here last year and tends to take safer, mid-pack results in plate-track events. He used to dominate races here when the pavement was old and drivers were desperate to find grip. Can he get back to his winning ways?
Michael McDowell is an excellent example of the feast-or-famine nature of plate-track racing. At Talladega last year, he finished third and eighth. At Daytona, he wrecked out both times. At Atlanta, he came in 15th and 24th. Which will it be this week?
Ricky Stenhouse Jr will either win the race or run into at least one other driver. His aggressive style means that he is usually right at the front or wrapped around something at the end of the race.
Erik Jones had a top-5 and a top-15 finish at Atlanta in 2022. At Talladega, he has five top-ten finishes in his last six starts. He’s on a bit of a streak at plate-track races, and this week is his latest opportunity to jump up and snag a win.
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