NFL Week 12 Over/Under Picks for Great Games in Thursday, Sunday and Monday

NFL Week 12 Over/Under Picks for Great Games in Thursday, Sunday and Monday

Written by on November 21, 2022

We weren’t really surprised to see the New England Patriots make it 14 wins in a row over the New York Jets, but we were surprised to see the Jets hold the Pats to three points – until the waning seconds, when the Patriots got a punt return to the house to seal a 10-3 win. The two teams who had looked so dominant in the NFC East – the Eagles and the Giants – looked human once again, as the Eagles had to mount a furious comeback to beat Indianapolis by a point, and Detroit suddenly has three wins in a row after demolishing the Giants on the East Coast. Next up for the Lions is a Thanksgiving date with the Buffalo Bills – who just beat Cleveland on Detroit’s home field due to a massive blizzard in western New York. Let’s take a look at how you should play point totals as part of your NFL betting for this coming weekend.

 

NFL News: Week 12 O/U Picks

 

Thursday, November 24


 

Buffalo Bills (-9) at Detroit Lions (O/U 54)
(12:30 pm ET, CBS)

The Buffalo Bills put up a lot of points, and the Detroit Lions don’t play much in the way of defense. The Bills have a stout defense, at least on paper, but they have let teams sneak back in during the second half of way too many games lately. Take the over.

 

N.Y. Giants (+9) at Dallas Cowboys (O/U 44.5)
(4:30 pm ET, FOX)

The Dallas Cowboys have an offense that will put up points thanks to a pounding ground game and a passing game that can be explosive. It just really depends on which Dallas offensive line shows up – the one that blows over opponents and protects the quarterback without drawing pre-snap penalties, like we saw in Minnesota last week, or the one tat ground to a halt in the fourth quarter and overtime against Green Bay. The Giants run a slow, grinding offense that only managed 18 points against a generous Detroit defense. Take the under.

 

New England Patriots (+3) at Minnesota Vikings (O/U 42.5)
(8:20 pm ET, NBC)

The Vikings gave up 40 points on Sunday, but i have a feeling they will have an easier time containing Mac Jones on Sunday. Expect Bill Belichick to have a plan to stop Justin Jefferson and bottle up Dalvin Cook, too. Take the under.

 

Sunday, November 27


 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3) at Cleveland Browns (O/U 43.5)
(1:00 pm ET, FOX)

We have two teams that pound the ball a lot on the ground and struggle to get things going through the air. The Buccaneers come out of their bye week to face Cleveland, while the Browns just got a huge game out of Jacoby Brissett…in a losing effort. Take the under.

 

Cincinnati Bengals (-1.5) at Tennessee Titans (O/U 42.5)
(1:00 pm ET, CBS)

The Bengals dropped 37 on Pittsburgh last week, but Pittsburgh was able to get to 30. Tennessee scored 27 in a win over Green Bay last Thursday. Neither defense is all that ironclad. Take the over.

 

Houston Texans (+12) at Miami Dolphins (O/U 46)
(1:00 pm ET, CBS)

Both teams come out of the bye, which means that the Dolphins’ offense should be rested and in track-meet mode. What will the talent-deprived Texans offer in the way of resistance? Miami does have the defense to lock down the Texans as well. Take the under.

 

Chicago Bears (+6) at N.Y. Jets (O/U 41.5)
(1:00 pm ET, FOX)

Justin Fields dislocated his left shoulder on Sunday, so he is questionable for the Bears. His backup is journeyman Trevor Siemian, last seen starting in relief of Jameis Winston and Taysom Hill in New Orleans. The Jets managed all of three points in New England last week. They should be in frustration mode, but I’m not sure they and the Bears can beat this total. Take the under.

 

Atlanta Falcons (+3.5) at Washington Commanders (O/U 43)
(1:00 pm ET, FOX)

Washington managed 23 points against Houston this past week, while the Falcons eked out 27 in a win over Chicago. The Commanders’ defense is stiffer than the Bears, and the Falcons’ offense will provide more of a challenge than Houston’s did. Take the over.

 

Baltimore Ravens (-4) at Jacksonville Jaguars (O/U 44)
(1:00 pm ET, CBS)

Jacksonville comes out of the bye to face a Baltimore time that could only manage 13 points at home against Carolina. Jacksonville has Christian Kirk going nuts in the wide receiving game, but can Trevor Lawrence get enough time in the pocket? Take the under.

 

Denver Broncos (-2.5) at Carolina Panthers (O/U 35)
(1:00 pm ET, FOX)

This is a bizarrely low point total, but Russell Wilson is not moving the Broncos’ offense, and neither Baker Mayfield nor P.J. Walker has had much luck with the Panther unit. I see this turning into a weird outlier, although I’m not going to spend much money on this. Take the over.

 

L.A. Chargers (-3.5) at Arizona Cardinals (O/U 47.5)
(4:05 pm ET, CBS)

Both of these teams have the ability to turn games into track meets. The big question is Kyler Murray, who will not start on Monday night against the 49ers due to hamstring woes. Justin Herbert put up big numbers against Kansas City on Sunday, but a late interception doomed the Chargers against the Chiefs for the second time this season. Take the over.

 

Las Vegas Raiders (+3.5) at Seattle Seahawks (O/U 47.5)
(4:05 pm ET, CBS)

Seattle comes out of the bye week to host a Las Vegas team that actually won a game down the stretch, but the Raiders did beat Denver, a team that can’t score. Seattle can put up points in bunches, and the Raiders’ defense is generous. Take the over.

 

L.A. Rams (+14.5) at Kansas City Chiefs (O/U 44)
(4:25 pm ET, FOX)

Matthew Stafford is in the concussion protocol, and I’m not sure John Wolford can lead the Rams to double figures. Can the Chiefs basically beat the point total by themselves? Take the under.

 

New Orleans Saints (+8.5) at San Francisco 49ers (O/U 42.5)
(4:25 pm ET, FOX)

Andy Dalton threw three touchdown passes last week, but the 49ers have the pass rush to put the clamps back on the Saints, even with Alvin Kamara back on the field. The 49ers should be able to score on the Saints pretty much at will, though. But which Jimmy G will show up? Take the under.

 

Green Bay Packers (+7) at Philadelphia Eagles (O/U 45.5)
(8:20 pm ET, NBC)

The Eagles’ offense has not looked productive against Washington or Indianapolis the past two weeks. Green Bay has a sneaky defense, and the Eagles should be able to contain the Packers’ running game and force the Packers into short drives by giving them third-and-longs. Take the under.

 

Monday, November 28


 

Pittsburgh Steelers (+3) at Indianapolis Colts (O/U 39.5)
(8:15 pm ET, ESPN)

Pittsburgh just scored 30 on a Cincinnati defense that is comparable to the Colts’. Kenny Pickett has a ton of upside. The Colts should be able to find room to throw the ball thanks to a depleted Pittsburgh secondary. Take the over.



 

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