Biggest Shifts in Odds to Win the Super Bowl after Week 6 of the Season

Biggest Shifts in Odds to Win the Super Bowl after Week 6 of the Season

Written by on October 20, 2021

The Dallas Cowboys beat the New England Patriots on Sunday for the first time since Bill Parcells was the head coach at Foxborough. It took overtime to do it, as a series of curious decisions by Cowboys coach Mike McCarthy helped keep things close. In the first quarter, he decided to go on 4th and 1 from the Dallas 34. When the play failed, New England had a short field and a gimme touchdown. In the fourth quarter, the Cowboys trailed, 29-26, but had two timeouts as well as the 2:00 warning — plenty of time to drive for a touchdown, but instead the Cowboys let the clock bleed and settled for a field goal, although they curiously called a timeout with 24 seconds left, ensuring that the Patriots would get the ball back before the extra frame. It will be interesting to see if a McCarthy decision or two ends up costing Dallas against a more elite opponent.

Let’s look at the latest shifts in each team’s NFL betting odds to win the Super Bowl.

NFL News: Biggest Shifts in Odds to Win the Super Bowl

Team Opening Odds Current Odds
Kansas City Chiefs +500     +750
Tampa Bay Buccaneers     +650     +550
Buffalo Bills        +1200   +600
Green Bay Packers   +1200   +1100
Baltimore Ravens   +1400   +900
San Francisco 49ers +1400   +4000
L.A. Rams           +1500   +800
Cleveland Browns  +1600   +2200
Seattle Seahawks   +2000   +10000
Tennessee Titans   +2500   +3000
New Orleans Saints  +3000   +4000
Dallas Cowboys +3000   +1000
Indianapolis Colts   +3000   +10000
Miami Dolphins  +3200   +20000
L.A. Chargers     +3300   +2200
New England Patriots    +3700   +12500
Minnesota Vikings  +4000   +5000
Denver Broncos +4100   +10000
Pittsburgh Steelers +4400   +8000
Arizona Cardinals   +4800   +900
Chicago Bears    +5000   +20000
Washington Football Team +5000   +15000
Atlanta Falcons +6000   +20000
N.Y. Giants +7000   +75000
Philadelphia Eagles  +7500   +15000
Las Vegas Raiders +7500   +8000
Carolina Panthers  +9000   +12500
N.Y. Jets +12000 +150000
Cincinnati Bengals +12000 +8000
Jacksonville Jaguars +12000 +250000
Detroit Lions +18000 +500000
Houston Texans +25000 +500000

The Dallas Cowboys won a game that they would certainly have lost in the Jason Garrett era. The early adversity, not just in terms of the turnover on downs as well as other gaffes in ball security, would likely have produced a deficit that the Cowboys would not have come back to overcome. However, Dallas kept battling back, thanks to a solid performance in play calling from offensive coordinator Kellen Moore. Dak Prescott suffered a calf strain on the game’s last play, a touchdown pass to CeeDee Lamb that ended overtime, but now that Dallas goes into the bye week, it’s unlikely that the team would have to rely on inexperienced backup Cooper Rush. Trevon Diggs had another interception, this one a pick-six in the fourth quarter. The Cowboys are doing things right on both sides of the ball — and they also got a blocked punt. Jason Garrett talked a lot about the three phases of the game, but now the Cowboys are doing things right in all three of them.

The Arizona Cardinals have gone from 48/1 to 9/1 odds to win the Super Bowl, and the main reason is their defense. Even with pass rusher Chandler Jones on the shelf with COVID-19 protocols and with head coach Kliff Kingsbury in quarantine, the Cardinals went to Cleveland demolished a tough team. Kyler Murray had four touchdown passes on the day, continuing his development as an elite quarterback — and ensuring his presence in the MVP conversation.

The Baltimore Ravens have also dropped to 9/1 odds to win the Vince Lombardi Trophy this season. Why? They finally looked like a complete team in a 34-6 shutdown of the Los Angeles Chargers. The Ravens’ defense finally found a way to harass Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert, and the Ravens’ offense finished drive after drive against a stout Charger defense.


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