The Houston Texans (1-4-1) look to get things going the right direction on Sunday, but things won’t be easy, as the Tennessee Titans (4-2) bring a four-game winning streak to town. Last week, quarterback Davis Mills had his best game so far in 2022, but the Texans stil lost, 38-20. His numbers were better (68% completion rate after posting a 62.7% rate before the bye week), and he threw for 302 yards. Both of his touchdown passes came on third down. However, he threw a devastating pick-six in the fourth quarter that turned things into a rout. The Titans have figured things out on the defensive front; last week, they completed a season sweep of Indianapolis that was keyed by pressure on Matt Ryan, leading to three sacks and two interceptions – one of which turned into a pick-six. The questions for Tennessee come on offense, as the team struggles to produce chunk plays. When Derrick Henry can grind out drives down the field, the Titans score, but they’re about to start playing tougher teams…after they leave Houston. Check out our prediction on this AFC South matchup before you lock in your online betting for the weekend.
NFL Preview: Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans (Sunday, October 30)
When: Sunday, October 30, 2022, 4:05 pm ET
Where: NRG Stadium, Houston
TV: CBS
Radio: WGFX 104.5 FM Nashville / KILT 610 AM Houston
Live Stream: Sling TV
NFL Odds: Tennessee -2.5 / O/U 40.5 // Tennessee -140 / Houston +118
Why should you bet on the Titans?
The Titans have prospered on the road, winning six of their last nine away from Nashville. Ryan Tannehill continues to put up workmanlike numbers, with 1,097 yards through six games – but just six touchdown passes against three interceptions. When the Titans score on offense, they either benefit from short fields or ride the running game, which Derrick henry leads with 536 yards and five scores. The defense has been stout, permitting just 21.3 points per game, led by Denico Autry’s five sacks.
In their last eight divisional games, Tennessee has covered six times, and they have also covered in their last four games straight. An interesting pick is the “under,” which has paid in nine of the Titans’ last 12 games. A combination of a smothering defense and an underperforming offense will do that. If you like the Titans, you see them taking control of the rhythm against the Texans and grinding out their fifth win in a row.
Why should you put your money on the Texans?
NRG Stadium has not been friendly to the Texans lately, as they have only won once in their last 10 games at home. Davis Mills has put up decent numbers for a second-year quarterback surrounded by a lack of talent at the skill positions, with a 7:5 TD:INT ratio and 1,350 yards in six games. Dameon Pierce is the leading rusher with 504 yards and has found the end zone three times. On defense, the Texans allow 22.8 points per game. Jonathan Owens has a team-high 56 tackles, and Jerry Hughes leads the team with four sacks.
Houston has covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games against Tennessee and in 16 of their last 22 meetings overall. If you like Houston, you see the Titans taking this game lightly, as they have done in the past with the Texans, and you see the Texans taking advantage.
Final Score and Prediction
The Texans are not finishing games well this season, and while the Titans don’t have an elite offense, they have a good enough rhythm (and a stout enough O-line) to determine the pace of games. On defense, their front seven can shut down the opposition on first and second down so that third down is hard enough for the often overmatched secondary to maintain order. I predict a final score of Tennessee 23, Houston 13.
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