2019 San Marino MotoGP Odds & Betting Preview

The 2019 San Marino MotoGP, officially known as the Gran Premio Octo di San Marino e della Riviera di Rimini, is set for Saturday in one of the most gorgeous locales on the planet. However, one of the problems of having a race at a beautiful seaside course means that when the mist comes in from the sea at night, it leaves salt on the course in the morning, which makes the grip on the road less than stable. The weather here is perfect for spectators, but for the riders, the track temperatures approach 100 degrees Fahrenheit. Once the course gets that hot, the grip gets even less stable, turning greasy as the day goes by. We have your MotoGP odds for this Saturday’s race as well as some thoughts about the track and your wagers.

2019 San Marino MotoGP Odds & Betting Preview

• When: September 13 at 8:00am ET
• Where: Misano World Circuit Marco Simoncelli
• Live Stream: MotoGP.com

Rider Odds to Win the 2019 San Marino MotoGP

• Marc Marquez                                                                                     7/4
• Fabio Quartararo                                                                                4/1
• Maverick Vinales                                                                                6/1
• Andrea Dovizioso                                                                                7/1
• Valentino Rossi                                                                                   17/2
• Alex Rins                                                                                             12/1
• Danilo Petrucci                                                                                   25/1
• Cal Crutchlow, Jack Miller, Franco Morbidelli                            40/1
• Michele Pirro                                                                                       100/1
• Pol Espargaro, Jorge Lorenzo                                                            125/1
• Takaaki Nakagami                                                                              250/1
• Joan Mir                                                                                              300/1
• Aleix Espargaro, Francesco Bagnaia                                                 500/1
• Johann Zarco, Stefan Bradl, Tito Rabat                                             750/1
• Miguel Oliveira, Sylvain Guintoli                                                         1000/1
• Andrea Iannone                                                                                  2000/1
• Karel Abraham                                                                                    3000/1
• Hafizh Syahrin                                                                                    5000/1

The Course

The course is a relatively slow one, with some quick corners and tight direction changes. Yamaha has had good results here, and Ducati has come on the last few years. Turns 1 and 2 are tight, and riders who are not prepared can get a nasty surprise on the first lap. Turn 1 is a place where people try to pass, but if you run too wide or run a poor line, you can give up that gain, and then some, at Turn 2. There is a hard standing outside Turn 1, so while crashes don’t happen, Race Direction does monitor that spot and will penalize riders who take too much of an advantage there. Turn 3 is quicker, but then Curva Rio, Turn 4, is a slow right turn. Then Turn 5 is a hard right before you go left and hit the straight. Turn 6 can play to a rider’s advantage if he pushes hard from second gear up through the box along the straight that curves along the back. Turn 7 allows you to bank over before you hit the brakes at Turn 8, called Quercia. This is a great place to pass, because if you will take some risks with your brakes, you can take advantage of the excess caution of your competitors. If you take the wrong line, though, you can get passed at Tramonto (Turn 9), and then you’re boxed in as the course tightens ahead of Turn 10, which puts you onto the top straight. Riders have to build speed and keep it through Turn 11, a fast right, but then they have to brake hard after Turn 12 and lean into tight Turns 13 and 14. Turn 14 is the slowest turn on the course. If you lose too much speed, you won’t get out of the turn and through Turn 15 efficiently. Turn 16  gives you one more chance to dive along the inside and pass, or block people behind you. You can still counter, even if you make a mistake, but fortune favors the bold here.

Who’s the Favorite?

Marc Marquez is the favorite here for a reason. He rides well when grip is low, thanks to his reflexes and training on dirt tracks. However, the Honda has a weakness in the front-end feeling under braking, and the corners here need that, so Marquez may have to hold back a little bit on his speed. However, he has the advantage of a 78-point lead over Andrea Dovizioso, and his goal is to salt away the title as quickly as possible. That means that you can expect him to race smart to ensure a spot on the podium, to get points. Dovizioso, riding Ducati, won here last year, and he needs to push hard to get as many points as possible, so I would put my money on him.