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This year’s last four in the UEFA Champions League Odds to win contain some new faces. Inter Milan haven’t won any Champions League titles and last won its predecessor, the European Cup, in 2009-10. Barcelona, have not won a title since the 2014-15 European Cup.
Arsenal have never won either title and have only made one European Cup final, all the way back in 2005-06. Paris Saint-Germain made it to the final in 2019-20, but are also still looking for their first title.
The holders, Real Madrid, were sent home in shocking 5-1 fashion by Arsenal. Bayern Munich were also shown the gate in the quarterfinal round.
UEFA Champions League Odds to Win Updated: 4 Teams in the Hunt for the Final Game
Let’s take a look at the latest sports betting odds for each of the last four teams to hoist the trophy and consider smart picks with the two-legged semifinal ties to take place on April 29-30 and May 6-7.
- Barcelona +199
- Paris Saint-Germain +232
- Arsenal +244
- Inter Milan +450
Who’s Favored to Win Right Now?
Barcelona
When Barcelona’s journey through the UEFA Champions League began, they went to Monaco, saw a straight red to end up with ten men, and lost. Things looked bleak indeed, but then they won the next seven league phase games to take one of the top eight slots in the knockout round seeding and avoid the playoff. They rolled over Benfica, 4-1 on aggregate, and then used a 4-0 home thrashing of Borussia Dortmund to open the quarterfinal leg and make the away fixture basically academic.
This is a roster with talent and depth, and having 16-year-old phenom Lamine Yamal and Raphinha on the wings makes them a devastating offense. Raphinha and Robert Lewandowski have both notched six or more goals, the first time two Barça players have done that since 2015-16, when Lionel Messi and Luis Suarez managed the feat. They run a 4-2-3-1 with an extremely high offside line, holding the defenders at least 50 meters away from the goal line. The focus is on pressure, and it works.
PSG
Right behind Barcelona are Paris Saint-Germain. The league phase was a grind for this soccer blue-blood, and when they lost at home to Atletico Madrid on Matchday 4, it looked like they could fail to make even the top 24 and might miss the playoff altogether. They bounced back and demolished Brest, 10-0 on aggregate, in their knockout phase playoff. They needed penalties to dispatch Liverpool in the round of 16 and also barely survived Aston Villa, 5-4, on aggregate, in the quarterfinal.
Aston Villa, have been a pleasant surprise this year, but the rough ride that PSG needed to endure to get by them has to have fans and sports bettors a bit concerned. Goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma had two great saves on penalties in the aggregate win over Liverpool and also kept his team from collapsing in the 3-2 loss at Aston Villa in the second leg of the quarterfinal tie, making several key saves in what could have been a 5-2 or 6-2 loss without his magic. PSG can play with anyone, but they can also give up goals to anyone.
^UEFA Champions League Odds to Win provided by Xbet
Upset Picks that could Surprise
Inter Milan
Could Inter run the table and win? They did bounce Bayern, 4-3, on aggregate after that bold 2-1 win to start the tie. They see Barcelona in the semifinals. Their defense has been stout, with just one goal conceded in eight league phase games.
They run a 3-5-2 that pushes down on the sides behind Denzel Dumfries and Federico Dimarco. This is a system that has been in place for several seasons now, and their depth makes them even more dangerous. Remember, Inter made it all the way to the UCL final two years ago.
What about Arsenal?
They’re ensconced in second place in the English Premier League table right now, but a distant 13 points behind Liverpool and six points ahead of Cinderella story Nottingham Forest. In the Champions League this year, they have the second-best defense, with the only league-phase blemish coming at Inter on a 1-0 loss on Matchday 4.
They thumped PSV Eindhoven, 9-3, on aggregate, including a 7-1 shellacking on the road, and they upped the ante even more by routing Real Madrid 3-0 at home and following it up with a 2-1 embarrassment at the Bernabéu. They also have a 2-0 home win over PSG in this tournament. Their confidence could just be enough to bring them a title.
^How to Bet Champions League Futures Smartly
All four of these teams have fairly close odds, and that reflects the reality of the situation – based on the way all four of them have played, they could all hoist the trophy at the end of the final.
Don’t put too much down on any of these moneylines – as always, limit yourself to between 1 and 3 percent of your bankroll – even if one of them is your favorite club.
^Who Has the Edge in the Knockout Rounds?
Arsenal are basically playing with house money at this point. All the pressure is on PSG to get the win in the semifinals, but it’s not like the Gunners are riding a miracle wave – they’re also dominating in the English Premier League. They’re playing loose and scoring a lot of goals, so they’re an intriguing value pick.
^How the Odds to Win Are Changing Weekly
As action pours in, you may see some of the odds shift to balance out the wagers. Once we have the first fixtures in the books, then you are likely to see some of the odds move as teams face differing degrees of difficulty when it comes to advancing to the final.
^Whose year is it? #UCL pic.twitter.com/AJWpgdJpgE
— UEFA Champions League (@ChampionsLeague) April 23, 2025
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