2019 NFL Week 7 Odds, Overview & Picks for Every Game

2019 NFL Week 7 Odds, Overview & Picks for Every Game

Written by on October 14, 2019

Week 6 of the 2019 NFL regular season had some surprises. For example, Dallas lost to an 0-4 team for the first time since 1999. The Cowboys are averaging 4.5 points per game in the first half over their last four games, dating back to that win over Miami. The Kansas City Chiefs aren’t doing much better, having dropped home games to Indianapolis and Houston in the last two weeks. And how about those Cleveland Browns? They literally do not know which team will show up — as they had an amazing win over Baltimore in Week 4, then got demolished by San Francisco in Week 5, and then had both the great team and the dreadful team show up in Week 6, as they roared out to a lead over Seattle, only to see it vanish as the Seahawks prevailed. Thinking about including NFL betting this coming week? Check out our thoughts and odds for each matchup of NFL Week 7.

2019 NFL Week 7 Odds, Overview & Picks for Every Game

  • Bye Week: Cleveland, Pittsburgh, Tampa Bay, Carolina
  • Live Stream: NFL Game Pass

Thursday, October 17

Kansas City (-4.5) at Denver (8:20pm ET, FOX/NFL Network)

Since the 2015 campaign, Kansas City has gone 22-3 straight up against their AFC West peers and covered 17 times in those 28 games. They have beaten Denver seven straight times, covering in six of those wins. As bad as Kansas City has looked the last two weeks, Denver has looked that much worse. Chiefs to win and cover.

Sunday, October 20

L.A. Rams (-3.5) at Atlanta (1:00pm ET, FOX)

Generally, I will pick against a West Coast team playing in the Eastern time zone in the early slot, just because of the jet lag. However, the Rams have covered the spread in all five games they have played in the Eastern time zone under Sean McVay. Also, the Rams will have plenty of motivation after losing to the 49ers. Finally, Atlanta has covered in just one game this year — and in just three of their last 14. Rams to win and cover.

Miami (+16.5) at Buffalo (1:00pm ET, CBS)

Yes, the Buffalo Bills are favored to win by more than two touchdowns. Miami has covered just once in their last eight games — and they have failed to cover in their last five games as a double-digit underdog, including that game in Dallas where the Cowboys were favored by 22. Bills to win and cover.

Jacksonville (-3.5) at Cincinnati (1:00pm ET, CBS)

Cincinnati has covered just once in their last eight home games, winning just twice over that span. Jacksonville has gone 8-0-2 against the spread in their last ten games against AFC North opposition. Jaguars to win and cover.

Minnesota (-1) at Detroit (1:00pm ET, FOX)

Minnesota is 3-0 straight up and ATS in their last three games against the Lions. However, the Lions have covered in six of their last eight games. With this spread, though, you’re basically picking the game-winner. Did you see the Vikings undress the Eagles? Vikings to win and cover.

Oakland (+6.5) at Green Bay (1:00pm ET, CBS)

The Raiders have covered three times in their last 15 road games and in just five of their last 18 games against NFC opponents. Green Bay has covered in six of their last seven against AFC opponents. Packers to win and cover.

Houston (PK) at Indianapolis (1:00pm ET, CBS)

Houston has covered in six of their last nine on the road — and in six in a row against AFC teams. However, Indianapolis has beaten Houston three of the last four times they met and has covered eight times in their last 12 games against Houston since 2013. Colts to win and cover.

Arizona (+3) at N.Y. Giants (1:00pm ET, FOX)

The Giants have covered just twice in their last 11 home games — and the Cardinals are playing with more confidence in each week, while teams are figuring out Daniel Jones. Cardinals to cover.

San Francisco (-9.5) at Washington (1:00pm ET, FOX)

Washington has covered just once in six games this season, and they have lost their last five, both straight up and against the spread, as a home underdog. However, San Francisco has failed to cover in their last five games in which they were favored by at least a touchdown — and Washington won last week. Redskins to cover.

L.A. Chargers (PK) at Tennessee (4:05pm ET, CBS)

It’s hard to imagine a team looking worse than the Chargers did against Pittsburgh on Sunday night. However, Tennessee managed to lose to Denver on Sunday as well. The Chargers have the higher ceiling, and they have also covered in seven of their last eight on the road. Given this meeting of two potential dumpster fires, I’m not putting any money on this game, but if you insist, I suggest Chargers to cover. New Orleans (+3.5) at Chicago (4:25pm ET, FOX) Can Chicago get outcoached? Is their quarterback easy to outduel? Yes — and Sean Payton’s Saints have beaten the Bears straight up and against the spread four straight times. Give me the Saints to cover.

Baltimore (+4) at Seattle (4:25pm ET, FOX)

The Seahawks are much, much better at home, covering in nine of their last 15 in Seattle against AFC opponents. Baltimore has covered in just three of their last 10 games against NFC teams. Give me Seattle to win and cover.

Philadelphia (+3) at Dallas (8:20pm ET, NBC)

Now that the league has managed to figure out what Dallas is going to do on defense, as everyone from the Rams (in the divisional playoff game) to Sam Darnold (after the Jets embarrassed the Cowboys) has their scheme figured out, we see that the Cowboys have become very easy to beat. Eagles to cover.

Monday, October 21

New England (-10) at N.Y. Jets (8:15pm ET, ESPN)

Yes, Sam Darnold is back. Yes, the Patriots have struggled to move the ball in the first half. No, it won’t matter. Patriots to win and cover.