On July 23, the 110th edition of the Tour de France will come to an end with the final stage, which runs along the Champs-Elysees in Paris. The race began with 22 teams, including all 18 UCI WorldTeams and four UCI ProTeams. The race actually began in Spain (Bilbao), the second time that the Basque region has hosted the start. The course moved into France for Stage 3 and then detoured to the Pyrenees for a couple of stages. Bastille Day featured Stage 13, which finished at the summit on the Col du Grand Colombier. French rider Romain Bardet has described the first week of this year’s Tour as the toughest of all time, thanks to the number of climbs high into the mountains. The defending champion, Jonas Vingegaard, has held the jersey since the end of Stage 5 and retained it at the end of Stage 13. At this writing, though, Tadej Pogacar, the two-time Tour champ, is the slight favorite to win the whole thing, and he holds the white jersey, given to the race’s top young rider. Let’s look at the updated cycling betting odds for the field as well as some thoughts about the last nine days of competition.
Cycling Betting News: Tour de France Updated Odds and Betting Analysis
| Odds to Win | |
|---|---|
| Tadej Pogacar | -130 |
| Jonas Vingegaard | +110 |
| Jai Hindley | +4000 |
| Tim Pidcock | +5000 |
| Carlos Rodriguez | +6500 |
| Simon Yates, Adam Yates, Pello Bilbao | +15000 |
| David Gaudu, Sepp Kuss | +30000 |
| Louis Meintjes, Thibaut Pinot | +40000 |
| Felix Gall, Romain Bardet | +50000 |
| Emanuel Buchmann, Guillaume Martin, Mikel Landa | +80000 |
| Ben O’Connor, Balentin Madouas, Rafal Majka, Michael Woods, Wilco Kelderman, Julian Alaphilippe | +100000 |
| Current Standings (Top Ten) |
|---|
| Rider Time / Time Differential |
| Jonas Vingegaard 53h 48m 59s |
| Tadej Pogacar +9s |
| Jai Hindley +2m 51s |
| Carlos Rodriguez +4m 48s |
| Adam Yates +5m 3s |
| Simon Yates +5m 4s |
| Pello Bilbao +5m 25s |
| Tom Pidcock +5m 35s |
| David Gaudu +6m 52s |
| Sepp Kuss +7m 11s |
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Tadej Pogacar continues to catch up to Jonas Vingegaard; on Stage 13, the Slovenian cut his deficit from 17 seconds to just nine at the summer of the Col Grand Colombier. This looked much the same as the finish of Stage 9, as Vingegaard did not have an answer for Pogacar’s explosive attack down the stretch. Vingegaard held firm until the last 100 meters before limiting the damage to four seconds – plus the four-second bonus that Pogacar earned by finishing third in this stage. The breathing room that Vingegaard had built for himself with that spectacular attack on the first stage in the Pyrenees is just about gone.
Next up for the Tour is a pair of brutal days in the Alps before Monday’s rest day. Tuesday and Wednesday will also feature two extremely tough stages; by the end of these next five days, we will know which rider can prevail in a test of climbing strength. Vingegaard remains confident that the short gap that he holds over Pogacar will grow before the Tour comes to an end, and in an interview after Stage 13, he indicated that his condition is still getting better. In Stage 13, he did not get much support from the rest of his Jumbo-Visma team, but he noted that this was a deliberate strategy given the hard work that Pogacar’s UAE Team Emirates was putting together for him – and given Vingegaard’s belief that the ascent would not damage him too badly.
For now, unless a crash takes out one or both of the top two contenders, it’s hard to argue that you should bet on any of the other top riders to make up a time difference that, at this point, has grown to several minutes. Vingegaard and Pogacar have separated themselves from the rest of the peloton in terms of their ability to push and get more elite times.
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