It’s finally here! We’re just two days away from the official start of the 2023 NFL regular season. The defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs open the season at home against the Detroit Lions with a line that has dropped to 6 ½ points. We have a full slate of games as all 32 teams are in action this weekend an its NFL ATS Picks. Let’s check out each matchup along with our NFL betting pick.
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Detroit Lions at Kansas City Chiefs
NFL Odds: Detroit Lions (+6.5) at Kansas City Chiefs (O/U 54)
When: Thursday, September 7, 2023, 8:20pm ET
Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
TV/Live Stream: NBC
The Chiefs don’t always start the regular season with a bang. It takes them a few games to figure things out on defense, and Patrick Mahomes is generally good for an interception or two in the opener before settling down. The Lions upgraded their secondary in the off-season and come in with the momentum (and the pressure) that goes along with being the NFC North favorites. Lions to cover.
NCAA Football Odds | Bet on the Detroit Lions vs Kansas City Chiefs!
NFL ATS Picks | Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons
NFL Odds: Carolina Panthers (+2) at Atlanta Falcons (O/U 39.5)
When: Sunday, September 10, 2023, 1:00pm ET
Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
TV/Live Stream: FOX
Bryce Young will make his NFL debut starting for the Panthers. The Falcons have an aggressive defense, and their young quarterback (Desmond Ridder) is a little further along the NFL learning curve. The Falcons’ offense is more run-focused, which means that ball security should be less of an issue. Falcons to win and cover.
NCAA Football Odds | Bet on the Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons!
Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns
NFL Odds: Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5) at Cleveland Browns (O/U 46.5)
When: Sunday, September 10, 2023, 1:00pm ET
Where: Cleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland, OH
TV/Live Stream: CBS
Can the Bengals go into Cleveland and beat the Browns by a field goal? The Browns upgraded their pass rush and may have a defensive coordinator that can get results out of his talented roster. They also have a solid rushing attack thanks to Nick Chubb. Joe Burrow will have some rust coming off that calf injury, but will the rust fall off in time for the Bengals to win? Browns to cover.
NCAA Football Odds | Bet on the Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns!
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Minnesota Vikings
NFL Odds: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+6) at Minnesota Vikings (O/U 45.5)
When: Sunday, September 10, 2023, 1:00pm ET
Where: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
TV/Live Stream: CBS
Baker Mayfield makes his Buccaneers debut against the Vikings. Which Minnesota defense will show up? Which Baker Mayfield will show up? Can Kirk Cousins get off to a solid start? He usually starts to accrue turnovers after the first third of the season, but this is a big spread. Bucs to cover.
NCAA Football Odds | Bet on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Minnesota Vikings!
NFL ATS Picks | Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts
NFL Odds: Jacksonville Jaguars (-5) at Indianapolis Colts (O/U 43)
When: Sunday, September 10, 2023, 1:00pm ET
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
TV/Live Stream: FOX
The Colts are still a mess, thanks to owner Jim Irsay mishandling the Jonathan Taylor situation. Without Taylor in the lineup, the Jags can tee off on rookie quarterback Anthony Richardson. Jaguars to win and cover.
NCAA Football Odds | Bet on the Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts!
Tennessee Titans at New Orleans Saints
NFL Odds: Tennessee Titans (+3) at New Orleans Saints (O/U 41)
When: Sunday, September 10, 2023, 1:00pm ET
Where: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
TV/Live Stream: CBS
I’m excited about Derek Carr getting a new start in the Crescent City. I’m not excited about the Saints’ defense or running game, though. The Titans have been flying under the radar even after signing DeAndre Hopkins. Titans to cover.
NCAA Football Odds | Bet on the Tennessee Titans vs New Orleans Saints!
San Francisco 49ers at Pittsburgh Steelers
NFL Odds: San Francisco 49ers (-2.5) at Pittsburgh Steelers (O/U 41)
When: Sunday, September 10, 2023, 1:00pm ET
Where: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
TV/Live Stream: FOX
Hmmm. West Coast team playing in the Eastern time zone…in the early time slot. I like the 49ers’ defense a lot, but I also like Pittsburgh’s. Could the Steelers stand tall at home while the 49ers are still figuring out how to work Brock Purdy back into the offense? Steelers to cover.
NCAA Football Odds | Bet on the San Francisco 49ers vs Pittsburgh Steelers!
Arizona Cardinals at Washington Commanders
NFL Odds: Arizona Cardinals (+7) at Washington Commanders (O/U 40.5)
When: Sunday, September 10, 2023, 1:00pm ET
Where: FedExField, Landover, MD
TV/Live Stream: FOX
The Cardinals traded for Joshua Dobbs to come in and start at quarterback for Week 1. I will take Washington unless the line hits double digits. Commanders to win and cover.
NCAA Football Odds | Bet on the Arizona Cardinals vs Washington Commanders!
Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens
NFL Odds: Houston Texans (+10) at Baltimore Ravens (O/U 43.5)
When: Sunday, September 10, 2023, 1:00pm ET
Where: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
TV/Live Stream: CBS
Can C.J. Stroud slice and dice the Baltimore defense in his NFL debut? That could prove a daunting challenge. Will Lamar Jackson, Odell Beckham Jr, and J.K. Dobbins lead the offense into the field with a massive chip on their shoulder? Absolutely. Ravens to win and cover.
NCAA Football Odds | Bet on the Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens!
Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears
NFL Odds: Green Bay Packers (+1) at Chicago Bears (O/U 41.5)
When: Sunday, September 10, 2023, 4:25pm ET
Where: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
TV/Live Stream: FOX
Jordan Love or Justin Fields? Fields has the NFL regular-season starting experience, and he has a slight edge in the wide receiver group. Jordan Love has Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon pounding the ball, while the Bears don’t have the same rhythm in the running game. Packers to cover.
NCAA Football Odds | Bet on the Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears!
Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos
NFL Odds: Las Vegas Raiders (+3.5) at Denver Broncos (O/U 44.5)
When: Sunday, September 10, 2023, 4:25pm ET
Where: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
TV/Live Stream: CBS
The Raiders are difficult to figure out – but so are the Broncos. Honestly, I’m not betting on this game, but if I had to, I would choose the Sean Payton-Russell Wilson combo over the Josh McDaniels-Jimmy G one. Broncos to win and cover.
NCAA Football Odds | Bet on the Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos!
Philadelphia Eagles at New England Patriots
NFL Odds: Philadelphia Eagles (-4) at New England Patriots (O/U 45)
When: Sunday, September 10, 2023, 4:25pm ET
Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
TV/Live Stream: CBS
Will the Eagles stumble in with a Super Bowl hangover, or will they roar into Gillette Stadium motivated to get back to the title game and win it this time? The Patriots are picked to finish last in the AFC East in multiple polls, so we should see a fierce night from the Birds. Eagles to win and cover.
NCAA Football Odds | Bet on the Philadelphia Eagles vs New England Patriots!
Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Chargers
NFL Odds: Miami Dolphins (+3) at L.A. Chargers (O/U 48.5)
When: Sunday, September 10, 2023, 4:25pm ET
Where: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
TV/Live Stream: CBS
This point total has dipped from its opening at 51, but the line has crept up a half-point in the Chargers’ favor. The Dolphins have an elite offense in terms of speed at the skill positions – as long as Tua Tagovailoa is ready to return. The Chargers have a lot of talent on both sides of the ball and have had a long time to think about that playoff collapse against the Jags. Chargers to win and cover.
NCAA Football Odds | Bet on the Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Chargers!
Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks
NFL Odds: L.A. Rams (+5) at Seattle Seahawks (O/U 46.5)
When: Sunday, September 10, 2023, 4:25pm ET
Where: Lumen Field, Seattle, WA
TV/Live Stream: FOX
This line has crept up from Seattle -4 since it opened, and with good reason. Cooper Kupp is still nursing an iffy hamstring, and Geno Smith is the real deal at quarterback. Yes, Aaron Donald is back with the Rams, but he can’t shut the Seahawks down all by himself. Right? Seahawks to win and cover.
NCAA Football Odds | Bet on the Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks!
NFL ATS Picks | Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants
NFL Odds: Dallas Cowboys (-3.5) at N.Y. Giants (O/U 45.5)
When: Sunday, September 10, 2023, 8:20pm ET
Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
TV/Live Stream: NBC
This line has grown by a point since it opened. The Cowboys have won four in a row in this rivalry (and 73 of 122 overall). Dak Prescott didn’t take the field in the preseason – so expect to see some rust. But will the duo of Daniel Jones and Saquon Barkley be able to do enough damage against the Dallas defense? I think this game comes down to the last possession as the Cowboys tool around until it’s almost too late. Giants to cover.
NCAA Football Odds | Bet on the Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants!
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets
NFL Odds: Buffalo Bills (-2.5) at N.Y. Jets (O/U 46.5)
When: Monday, September 11, 2023, 8:15pm ET
Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
TV/Live Stream: ESPN, ABC, ESPN+
This line opened at Buffalo -1, and for some reason, the money is coming in heavy on the Bills’ side. When did the Bills last win a tough game on the road against an elite opponent? And yes, Aaron Rodgers makes the Jets an elite opponent. Jets to cover.
NCAA Football Odds | Bet on the Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets!
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