Titans vs Jaguars Betting Picks and Analysis for Week 11

Titans vs Jaguars Betting Picks and Analysis for Week 11

Written by on November 17, 2023

Two teams with iffy offensive lines square off when the Tennessee Titans visit the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday. The Jaguars had rolled out to a 6-2 record despite this problem, but the San Francisco 49ers abused their O-line all day in a 34-3 rout. On the season, Jacksonville is 31st in the league at pass block win rate according to ESPN Analytics, winning just 46% of their pass block snaps as a unit. They are 30th in run blocking win rate, winning just 68% of the time. The Titans would love to have Derrick Henry running wild all over the field like he did before his foot injury, but without a line opening holes for him, not even a tailback with his strength and ferocity can do consistent damage. Their problem has primarily come at left tackle, which shuts down half of the running game and puts the quarterback’s blind side at hazard. If you plan to wager on this AFC South matchup between Titans vs Jaguars, don’t miss our NFL betting preview.

 

NFL Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Odds

When: Sunday, November 19, 2023, 1:00 pm ET
Where: EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL
TV: CBS
Radio: No National Broadcast
Live Stream: Hulu

 

Why should you bet on the Tennessee Titans?

The Titans have dropped four of five and have gone 0-5 away from Nissan Stadium this season. Rookie quarterback Will Levis out of Kentucky has taken over the offense, and he is showing some growing pains, with a pass completion rate of just 56.1% and a 4:2 TD:INT ratio. Nick Westbrook-Ikhine and DeAndre Hopkins have combined for six touchdown catches and 824 receiving yards, and tight end Chigoziem Okonkwo has 27 catches. On the ground, the Titans pick up 106.4 yards per game, and Derrick Henry leads tailbacks with 625 yards in nine games, with four touchdowns.

On defense, the Titans have been solid, permitting just 20 points and 338 yards per game. The top tackler has been Azeez Al-Shaair with 89, and Denico Autry has led the pass rush with six sacks. Against the Jaguars, the Titans have gotten off to strong starts in recent years, scoring the first touchdown in each of their last seven meetings. They are also 4-0 ATS as underdogs against divisional foes.

Bet on the Titans to Win Today

 
Titans vs Jaguars Week 11 Odds SPREAD MONEYLINE TOTAL
Jacksonville Jaguars -7 -330 U 40
Tennessee Titans +7 +260 O 40

 

Why should you put your money on the Jacksonville Jaguars?

The Jaguars have gone 5-1 in their last six games overall, but they have gone 1-3 in their last four games at EverBank Stadium. Trevor Lawrence has a 67.3% pass completion rate, but he has six interceptions to go along with his nine touchdown passes. Calvin Ridley got off to a hot start, but he has cooled off; along with Christian Kirk, he has combined for just five touchdown receptions. On the ground, Travis Etienne Jr has been heating up and now has 618 rushing yards and seven scores.

On defense, the Jaguars allow 21.1 points per game, a number that ticked up after that beating by San Francisco last week. Foyesade Oluokun is the top tackler with 101, and Josh Allen has been a beast in the pass rush with nine sacks. Andre Cisco leads the defense with three picks. November hasn’t been the best month for Jacksonville the past couple of seasons; they have a seven-game losing streak in this month against divisional opponents, and they have lost the first quarter in seven straight November games.

Bet on the Jaguars to Win Today

 

Titans vs Jaguars Final Score and Prediction

Jacksonville should win this game on paper, but we’ve seen Tennessee come in and steal games even when the conventional wisdom says otherwise. Will Levis has shown he can make NFL throws at all three levels, so if the Titans can give him time in the pocket and if the defense can get pressure on Lawrence and force turnovers, this could turn into a straight-up Titans win, or at least a grinder of a game that is decided by less than this spread. I predict a final score of Tennessee 23, Jacksonville 20.

 
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