NFL's Super Bowl: Bets You Should Not Make

NFL’s Super Bowl: Bets You Should Not Make

Written by on February 4, 2022

One of the most popular online betting events in the world is the Super Bowl. The most watched one-off sporting event in the world, the Super Bowl represents the world championship of the sport known around the world as American football, and many people like to wager on the game – and the wealth of props shows the popularity the game brings to gambling. In some cases, the props involve a good bit of research and insight, such as yardage total over/under wagers, but in other cases, you are just essentially flipping a coin, such as wagering whether the performance of the national anthem will go over or under a certain time frame.

Read on to learn about some Super Bowl wagers you should steer clear of this year.

NFL News: Super Bowl Bets You Should Not Make


Stay away from random prop bets

Can you wager on the color of Gatorade that will end up running down the head and clothing of the winning head coach? Yes. Can you wager on the outcome of the coin flip? Sure. Can you bet on which song will come first at the halftime show? You bet. These are fun bets, and you can even do a little research to see what might happen, such as previous performances of the national anthem, previous concerts by the halftime performers and even Gatorade trends in recent years (and there are gambling blogs with plenty of information on each of those topics). However, the truth is that there is no way to give yourself an edge. There are bets that you can find some imbalances and leverage those to your advantage, but these are completely arbitrary…which means that there isn’t any value.

Watch out for same-game parlays

These are popular on sportsbook websites, because the books bring in money hand over fist on these, not just during the Super Bowl but every day of the week. You can generate profitability with a same-game parlay, but it takes some clever research. For example, if you take the Rams to win straight up at -195 and Matthew Stafford to go over 1 ½ touchdown passes at -150, for example, but the odds on both of those happening would come to +152. If you were going to try and build a profitable parlay, the offerings are out there, but you need to be ready to do plenty of research. Many people who get drawn into these same-game parlays are simply excited to be betting and are willing to throw down money in a lot of directions. If you are that type of bettor, you are more likely than not to end up just throwing away your money.

Game-specific bets to avoid

Matthew Stafford over 281.5 passing yards (-114 on FanDuel)

You can get a lower yardage total AND a better moneyline on plenty of other websites. The Rams might jump out to a lead in the first half, and that should prompt them to run the ball here and there. Stafford got extremely lucky with a pass that should have been intercepted in the fourth quarter of the NFC Championship, and the Rams coughed the ball up multiple times in the fourth quarter of their divisional playoff in Tampa Bay

Tee Higgins under 5.5 catches (-140 on FanDuel)

Remember that the Rams are likely to erect a blockade between Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase. That led to a big day for Higgins in the AFC Championship, and it could also lead to a big day again in the Super Bowl, at least in terms of targets and catches.

Joe Burrow under 36.5 completions (-122 on FanDuel)

You can get the same completion total with better odds on multiple books, so the lack of value on this wager is insane. Burrow was 20th in attempts in the NFL, so going under might make some sense, but if the Bengals fall behind early here, Burrow will have to throw the ball more, like he did in the win in Kansas City.

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