2016 NFL Win Totals Betting Analysis

In just a few months, the NFL’s 2016 regular season will be underway, and if you made your win totals bets yet, those over/under totals will be shifting as teams undergo injuries in training camp and as any last-minute trades come down the wire. Right now, here is how the teams’ projected over/under win totals look in the sports books betting odds.

A Look at the 2016 NFL Win Totals Betting Analysis

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Arizona 9.5                            Los Angeles 7.5 Atlanta 7.5                              Miami 7 Baltimore 8.5                         Minnesota 9.5 Carolina 10.5                          New Orleans 7 Chicago 7.5                             New York Giants 8.5 Cincinnati 9.5                        New York Jets 8 Cleveland 4.5                         Oakland 8.5 Dallas 9.5                                Philadelphia 7 Denver 9                                Pittsburgh 10.5 Detroit 7                                San Diego 7 Green Bay 10.5                     San Francisco 5.5 Houston 8.5                          Seattle 10.5 Indianapolis 9.5                  Tampa Bay 7.5 Jacksonville 7.5                    Tennessee 5.5 Kansas City 9.5                   Washington 7.5

So what are some picks you can take away from this?

Chicago (7.5) — over

The Bears did lose running back Matt Forte, who has been a rock in their offense for years now. So their offense will need to get an overhaul with Jay Cutler at the helm. However, the defense was already solid, and adding rookie Leonard Floyd along with Danny Trevathan and Jerrell Freeman means that Pernell McPhee won’t be the only plus linebacker on the team. Eddie Goldman is going to be a stellar defensive lineman — and this should be his breakout year. Given that Chicago only faces consecutive road games once, and then they finish with four of six at home, this win total is doable.

Dallas (9.5) — over

Tony Romo is back with a surgically improved collarbone. The offensive line is back after a monster season last year. Instead of just having a journeyman running back in Darren McFadden (who was able to go over 1,000 yards behind that line despite some iffy speed), the Cowboys have added a stellar rookie in Ezekiel Elliott. Dez Bryant’s foot has healed. So on offense, this team should have few peers. The defense is definitely a question mark, but the Cowboys have three fragile foes in the division, so getting at least four wins out of those six matchups should not be a problem.

San Francisco (5.5) — under

The 49ers do have a new coach in Chip Kelly, but having Blaine Gabbert as their quarterback is not exciting for Bay Area fans. Their choice of DeForest Buckner with the seventh pick adds a needed part to their defensive line, and Joshua Garnett should step in right away and help that offensive line. However, given the talent that walked when Jim Harbaugh left town, this is a team in trouble. One reason for this pessimism is the stacked NFC West. The Cardinals and Seahawks could easily win 12 games apiece, and the Rams aren’t going to be as bad as San Francisco. So a 1-5 division record is definitely within the realm of possibility — if not 0-6. There are other tough games on the slate as well — Carolina, New England (after Brady comes back), the Jets and Dallas. This will be one of the more brutal win totals of the whole season.