Can They Repeat? 49ers' Odds and Analysis for the 2024 Season

Can They Repeat? 49ers’ Odds and Analysis for the 2024 Season

The San Francisco 49ers actually have a first-round draft pick in 2024, something they haven’t had since 2021. In each of the last two drafts, they’ve had to sit and watch the whole first round because of a trade they made before the 2021 draft, giving up their #12 pick for the Dolphins’ #3 pick. That trade also sent Miami the 49ers’ first-round picks for 2022 and 2023. They used that #3 pick to draft Trey Lance, who played in exactly two regular-season games for the 49ers and is now the third-string quarterback in Dallas. This time around, the 49ers have the #31 pick in the first round thanks to their NFC Championship last year. Had they beaten the Kansas City Chiefs in the Super Bowl, they would have pick #32. They have 10 total picks in the draft and six in the top 135 slots. This first-round pick will be an important part of the team extending its Super Bowl window past last season. Such key players as tight end George Kittle (5th round, 2017), linebacker Fred Warner (3rd round, 2018), defensive end Nick Bosa (1st round, 2019), wide receiver Deebo Samuel (2nd round, 2019), and linebacker Dre Greenlaw (5th round, 2019) have put together the core of a squad that has four NFC Championship game appearances in the last five seasons and two Super Bowl berths. Let’s look at the 49ers’ season opponents, NFL betting odds to win their division, conference, the Super Bowl, and some other thoughts about the 2024 campaign.

NFL Betting Analysis: San Francisco 49ers 2024 Season Odds Rundown | NFL Odds

  • Odds to Win Super Bowl LIX: +550
  • Odds to Win the NFC: +250
  • Odds to Win the NFC West: -210
  • Home Opponents: Arizona, Chicago, Dallas, Detroit, Kansas City, L.A. Rams, New England, N.Y. Jets, Seattle
  • Away Opponents: Arizona, Buffalo, Green Bay, L.A. Rams, Miami, Minnesota, Seattle, Tampa Bay

 

How will the draft shake out for the 49ers?

Here are their picks:

  • First Round (#31)
  • Second Round (#63)
  • Third Round (#94)
  • Fourth Round (#124 from Dallas in the Trey Lance trade)
  • Fourth Round (#132, compensatory)
  • Fourth Round (#135)
  • Fifth Round (#176, compensatory)
  • Sixth Round (#211, compensatory)
  • Sixth Round (#215, compensatory)
  • Seventh Round (#251)

One key priority for the 49ers is offensive tackle. Trent Williams is currently the starting left tackle, playing at a Pro Bowl level. However, he will turn 36 before the start of the 2024 season, and he misses a couple of games each year due to injury. At right tackle, Colton McKivitz could stand some competition. One possible choice in the first round is Patrick Paul out of Houston. He has 36 ¼-inch arms and posted a 7.65 time in the three-cone agility drill, solid numbers for a 6’7 ½” inch, 331-pound lineman. Jordan Morgan out of Arizona built plenty of experience and could also slide over to the right side despite playing on the left for all of his college career. Tyler Guyton out of Oklahoma has a savage edge to his approach to pass protection and run blocking, and scouts give him a high ceiling as far as development is concerned.

In the second round, a defensive back might make sense. Max Melton out of Rutgers is an interesting physical specimen, but he’s not all raw talent. At Rutgers, he had eight career picks. Melton ran a 4.39 40-yard dash and posted a 40 ½-inch vertical and 11’4” broad jump as well. Kool-Aid McKinstry out of Alabama has been recognized by scouts for his low-key, disciplined approach to training and to the game, which could make him an ideal candidate to transition into the NFL quickly as a #2 cornerback. Going into 2023, many scouts viewed him as the top cornerback in a talented Tide secondary. T.J. Tampa out of Iowa State only allowed 240 receiving yards on 49 targets during the 2023 season.


 

Odds to Win Super Bowl 59 – Top 10 Teams

  • San Francisco 49ers +525
  • Kansas City Chiefs +600
  • Baltimore Ravens +900
  • Buffalo Bills +1200
  • Detroit Lions +1200
  • Cincinnati Bengals +1400
  • Dallas Cowboys +1500
  • Houston Texans +1500
  • Philadelphia Eagles +1600
  • Miami Dolphins +2000
 
 
 

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2023 San Francisco 49ers Odds
 

Let’s be clear – those who see the 49ers breezing to another NFC Championship next year, or perhaps even further, are overlooking the fact that the team doesn’t have a set answer about the quarterback position. Brock Purdy did put the team on his back, making an historic run as a third-string signal-caller. However, the elbow injury that rendered him basically unable to throw the ball against Philadelphia in the NFC Championship and required surgery that kept him from throwing until last week. He was able to hit his marks in early drills, but it’s still up in the air whether he will be able to start Week 1. Trey Lance is the other option, but he went down in Week 1 last season with a foot injury. With this kind of rust at the quarterback position, this could be a more problematic season than 49ers fans might expect, even with the rest of the division in a state of flux. Let’s look at their season as you think about NFL betting options for the 2023 NFL campaign.

 

NFL Betting News: San Francisco 49ers 2023 Season Analysis

 

The draft and free agency period paid off nicely for the 49ers, particularly at defensive tackle. Last season, that group only generated a total of 59 pressures, the fourth-lowest number in the NFL. Arik Armstead led the team’s defensive tackles with 14 pressures – despite missing eight games with ankle and foot issues. Javon Hargrave (53 pressures, nine sacks and a 14.1% pressure rate). That pressure rate was the best in in the NFL for defensive tackles with 500 or more pass rushes through the last two seasons, joined the team via free agency.

The 49ers play the NFC East and the AFC North teams in 2023. Based on their NFC West title last year, they also play Minnesota and Tampa Bay, who won the NFC North and South. They play the Jacksonville Jaguars, the AFC South winners, as well.

I see the 49ers going 3-1 against the NFC East, with the lone setback coming against Philadelphia. The 49ers controlled the Cowboys in the divisional playoff, and both the Giants and the Commanders are working their way through rebuilds, although the Giants are closer to a breakthrough than Washington. Philadelphia got even stronger in the off-season, so they should be able to stop the 49ers again.

Against the AFC North, I see the 49ers going 2-2. All four teams have strong defenses, and they also have high-upside quarterbacks. Cincinnati has been in two straight AFC Championships, Baltimore has a quarterback with a chip on his shoulder, and Cleveland has a new defensive coordinator who finally might be able to leverage the talent on his roster. Pittsburgh has a stout defense, a confident second-year quarterback in Kenny Pickett, and an up-and-coming tailback in Najee Harris.

In the division, I see the 49ers going 5-1. I think they sweep the Cardinals and the Seahawks and split with the Rams. Arizona released DeAndre Hopkins, taking a huge hit in their wide receiving quality, The Rams have struggled against the 49ers in the regular season in recent years and are still struggling to get back to contender status in the wake of their Super Bowl win two seasons ago. The Seahawks have Geno Smith signed to an extension and have a solid running game. They also improved their secondary.

Against their opponents who won divisions, I see the 49ers beating Minnesota and Tampa Bay but losing to Jacksonville. Kirk Cousins has a way of melting down against elite opposition, and the Buccaneers are in an odd form of rebuilding that has brought in Baker Mayfield at quarterback. Jacksonville is the toughest of these three opponents, with Trevor Lawrence booming in confidence after advancing to the divisional round last year. So I see the 49ers finishing 12-5 and winning their division… if Purdy is back and healthy. If he’s not, all bets (no pun intended) are off.

 
 
 
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